Our blended Elo model gives Alcaraz a 61.4% edge on hard court, but Djokovic's pressure stats tell a different story. We break down every factor heading into this blockbuster quarter-final.
We back-tested our 56/44 blended Elo formula against ATP rankings and standard Elo across 12,000 matches. The results were striking.
Big servers are systematically undervalued by the market on fast surfaces. Our Serve Dominance Index quantifies the edge.
As the tour transitions to clay, our surface-specific Elo ratings reveal some surprising names poised for breakout runs.
We sat down with our lead data scientist to discuss how Tennex's prediction engine was built and where it's headed next.
Our pressure index tracks break point saves, tiebreak wins, and deciding-set performance. The data reveals two distinct player profiles.
